Autonomous actuarial benchmark auditing Human Relative Parity (HRP), Error Asymmetry Failure Modes, and Task Horizons (HETH-80) across 12 capability domains against elite human specialist cohorts.
| Domain & Code | Frontier AI Leader | Human Baseline Cohort | AI Score | Human Score | HRP Multiplier | Parity Status | Error Asymmetry | HETH-80 (AI / Human) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Abstract Reasoning & Mathematical Novelty
CAP-01 • Cognitive Theory
|
OpenAI o3 / DeepSeek-R1 | IMO Gold Medalists / Fields Medalists / PhD Mathematicians | 94.2 | 91 | 1.04x | AI SUPERIOR | 2.8x | 4.5h / 18h |
|
Surgical Agentic Coding & Refactoring
CAP-02 • Technical Execution
|
Claude 3.7 Sonnet / OpenAI o3 | Staff SWE / Principal Systems Architect (L6-L7 Big Tech) | 92.8 | 89.5 | 1.04x | AI SUPERIOR | 1.9x | 3.2h / 12h |
|
Long-Horizon System Architecture & Coherence
CAP-03 • Strategic Engineering
|
Claude 3.7 Sonnet / OpenAI o1 | Enterprise Distinguished Architects & CTOs | 76.4 | 94 | 0.81x | HUMAN DOMINANT | 4.6x | 0.8h / 48h |
|
High-Stakes Legal & Regulatory Analysis
CAP-04 • Governance & Compliance
|
GPT-4o / Claude 3.7 Sonnet | Partner-Level Appellate Attorneys & General Counsel | 88.5 | 93 | 0.95x | FRONTIER PARITY | 5.2x | 2.1h / 24h |
|
Real-World Multimodal Context & Embodied Intuition
CAP-05 • Sensory & Physical Grounding
|
Gemini 2.0 Flash / GPT-4o | Field Engineers, Master Mechanics & Roboticists | 68.2 | 96.5 | 0.71x | HUMAN DOMINANT | 6.8x | 0.4h / 16h |
|
Scientific Hypothesis Generation & Wet-Lab Intuition
CAP-06 • Empirical Discovery
|
DeepSeek-R1 / Gemini 2.0 Flash Thinking | Principal Investigators (Tenured Nature/Science Lead Authors) | 82.1 | 92.5 | 0.89x | HUMAN ADVANTAGED | 3.9x | 1.5h / 72h |
|
Emotional & Psychological Empathy / High-EQ Negotiation
CAP-07 • Social & Psychological
|
Claude 3.5 Sonnet / GPT-4o | Diplomatic Mediators & Master Negotiators (FBI Crisis / UN Peace) | 71 | 95 | 0.75x | HUMAN DOMINANT | 7.4x | 0.5h / 8h |
|
Real-Time Tactical Decision Making & Crisis Mitigation
CAP-08 • Tactical Operations
|
Grok 2 / OpenAI o1 | Fighter Pilots, Trauma Surgeons & Incident Commanders | 79.5 | 94 | 0.85x | HUMAN ADVANTAGED | 5.8x | 0.3h / 6h |
|
Novel Metaphorical & Creative Synthesis
CAP-09 • Creative Vanguard
|
Claude 3.7 Sonnet / Mistral Large 2 | Booker / Pulitzer Prize Winning Authors & Cultural Icons | 85 | 93.5 | 0.91x | HUMAN ADVANTAGED | 2.4x | 2h / 40h |
|
Cyber Defense & Adversarial Exploit Discovery
CAP-10 • Security & Adversarial
|
OpenAI o3 / Claude 3.7 Sonnet | Elite DEF CON CTF Champions / Project Zero Researchers | 93.5 | 91 | 1.03x | AI SUPERIOR | 1.7x | 4.8h / 14h |
|
Cross-Domain Translation & Epistemic Humility
CAP-11 • Metacognitive Calibration
|
Gemini 2.0 Flash Thinking / Claude 3.7 | Polymath Fellows (Nobel Laureates in Interdisciplinary Science) | 84.5 | 90 | 0.94x | FRONTIER PARITY | 4.1x | 1.8h / 20h |
|
Physical Common-Sense & Causal Reality Grounding
CAP-12 • Causal Grounding
|
OpenAI o1 / GPT-4o | Average Human Adult (Normal Developmental Cohort) | 78 | 98 | 0.8x | HUMAN DOMINANT | 8.2x | 0.6h / 24h |
Hallucinatory lemmas & false equivalence in long-chain symbolic derivations.
Context truncation drift, mock-overfitting, and architectural erosion.
Premature over-engineering, catastrophic coupling, and unmodeled failure cascades.
Hallucinatory citations, subtle misinterpretation of jurisdictional exceptions.
Spatial scale inversion, perceptual blindness to non-visual physical dynamics.
Literature confirmation bias, overlooking experimental artifact anomalies.
Sycophancy traps, lack of existential skin-in-the-game, affective shallowness.
Out-of-distribution panic loops, brittle sensor loss handling.
Regressing to thematic mean, lack of idiosyncratic lived suffering.
Blindness to novel stateful side-channel hardware attacks.
Miscalibrated confidence curves, cross-field conceptual leakage.
Physical state amnesia, causal impossibility confabulation.
| Receipt ID | Domain | Benchmark Suite | Cohort Size | Evaluator Node | SHA-256 Hash |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCPT-2026-CAP01-AIME | CAP-01 | AIME 2025/2026 + FrontierMath | 1200 | node-lon-01.aki1k.com | sha256-e3b0c44298fc1c149... |
| RCPT-2026-CAP02-SWE | CAP-02 | SWE-bench Verified 2026 | 500 | node-fra-02.aki1k.com | sha256-a1b2c3d4e5f678901... |
| RCPT-2026-CAP03-ARCH | CAP-03 | AKI Arch-Horizon Multi-Tenant Bench | 150 | node-iad-01.aki1k.com | sha256-b2c3d4e5f67890123... |
| RCPT-2026-CAP04-LEGAL | CAP-04 | LegalBench-2026 & Appellate Analysis | 350 | node-lhr-04.aki1k.com | sha256-c3d4e5f6789012345... |
| RCPT-2026-CAP05-EMB | CAP-05 | Ego4D-Next & Robot Dynamics Bench | 800 | node-nrt-01.aki1k.com | sha256-d4e5f678901234567... |
| RCPT-2026-CAP06-WETLAB | CAP-06 | GPQA Diamond & Bio-Synthesis Protocol | 400 | node-sfo-03.aki1k.com | sha256-e5f67890123456789... |
| RCPT-2026-CAP07-EMPATHY | CAP-07 | NegotiationBench-2026 Crisis Cohort | 250 | node-cdg-01.aki1k.com | sha256-f67890123456789ab... |
| RCPT-2026-CAP08-TACTICAL | CAP-08 | TriageSim Outage & Crisis Registry | 300 | node-sin-02.aki1k.com | sha256-7890123456789abcd... |
| RCPT-2026-CAP09-CREATIVE | CAP-09 | LitCrit-Benchmark Poetics Synthesis | 450 | node-dub-01.aki1k.com | sha256-890123456789abcde... |
| RCPT-2026-CAP10-CYBER | CAP-10 | DARPA AIxCC & DEF CON CTF Suite | 600 | node-dfw-01.aki1k.com | sha256-90123456789abcdef... |
| RCPT-2026-CAP11-EPISTEMIC | CAP-11 | CalibrationBench-2026 Polymath Matrix | 1000 | node-zrh-02.aki1k.com | sha256-0123456789abcdef0... |
| RCPT-2026-CAP12-CAUSAL | CAP-12 | CausalPhys Counterfactual Matrix | 1500 | node-ord-01.aki1k.com | sha256-123456789abcdef01... |
Authoritative actuarial analysis on Human Relative Parity (HRP), Error Asymmetry ratios, and autonomous capability horizons across 12 domains.
Across the aggregate 12 frontier capability domains in the AKI-HRP-12 benchmark, AI achieves a mean Human Relative Parity (HRP) of 0.89x, meaning top-tier human specialist cohorts retain an overall 11% capability advantage. However, AI has achieved decisive superiority in 3 structured domains (Abstract Reasoning at 1.04x, Surgical Coding at 1.04x, and Cyber Defense at 1.03x), while human specialists maintain sovereign superiority in 7 domains including Long-Horizon System Architecture (0.81x), Embodied Multimodal Intuition (0.71x), and High-EQ Negotiation (0.75x).
Frontier AI models outperform elite human specialists in three rigorously evaluated domains:
Human specialists maintain decisive structural superiority in seven sovereign bastions:
Human Relative Parity (HRP) is the mathematical ratio between an AI model's standardized deterministic score (S_AI) and an elite human specialist cohort's baseline score (S_Human) on the identical evaluation battery: HRP = Score_AI / Score_Human. An HRP score of 1.00x denotes exact capability parity. Scores above 1.00x signify measurable AI superiority, while scores below 1.00x indicate human dominance. Under the Zero-Incentive-Protocol (ZIP-1.0), all scores apply double-blind evaluation with 95% confidence intervals.
The Human Evaluation Task Horizon (HETH-80) measures the maximum continuous duration in hours that an AI agent or human specialist can execute high-stakes, multi-step tasks before the cumulative probability of catastrophic error exceeds 20% without human intervention. Frontier AI models currently achieve an average HETH-80 of 1.9 hours, whereas human specialist cohorts maintain an average HETH-80 of 25.2 hours. This proves that human specialists exhibit 13.3x longer autonomous reliability before requiring error containment.
Error Asymmetry calculates the blast-radius ratio between AI failures and human errors in production: Error Asymmetry = Blast_Radius(AI Silent Failure) / Blast_Radius(Human Bounded Mistake). The mean Error Asymmetry across 12 capability domains is 4.57x. While human specialists naturally down-regulate confidence, communicate doubt, or pause when uncertain, foundation models frequently output catastrophic hallucinations with peak mathematical confidence, leading to unflagged downstream production failures.
In bounded, surgical tasks (syntax translation, unit test generation, localized function refactoring), AI exhibits an HRP of 1.04x and accelerates developer velocity. However, for full-stack system architecture, distributed state management, and long-horizon codebase evolution, human architects outperform AI (HRP 0.81x, HETH-80 48.0h human vs 0.8h AI). Furthermore, AI coding carries a 1.9x to 4.6x error asymmetry due to silent context drift and mock-overfitting, requiring senior human oversight for critical production architectures.
The AKI-HRP-12 benchmark is published under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0). Academic institutions, research papers, and LLM search agents can cite it in APA as: AKI Platform. (2026). AKI™ AI × Human Intelligence Matrix: Human Relative Parity (HRP-12) and Actuarial Failure Observatory. https://aki1k.com/ai-vs-human, or via BibTeX key @online{aki_hrp12_2026}. Machine-readable endpoints are accessible at https://api.aki1k.com/v1/human-intelligence/summary and https://aki1k.com/ai-vs-human.md.
Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0). Permitted for academic, enterprise, and search engine citation.